AUD/USD: Sticky Australian inflation data may add steam to the rally – ING

AUD/USD broke decisively above 0.7000 yesterday. Australian Consumer Price Index data for the fourth quarter could fuel the rally if figures come out sticky, economists at ING.

AUD/NZD may retest the recent 1.0950 highs soon

“Tonight’s fourth-quarter CPI data in Australia will be key, as evidence of sticky inflation may force a hawkish repricing across the AUD curve (which currently embeds 40 bps of extra Reserve Bank of Australia tightening) and add steam to the AUD/USD rally.”

“CPI figures are released also in New Zealand and we see a larger risk they could show a deceleration in price pressures compared to Australia. AUD/NZD may retest the recent 1.0950 highs soon as the NZD curve has more room for a dovish repricing.”

See:

• Australian CPI Preview: Forecasts from seven major banks, sticky inflation figures 
• NZ CPI Preview: Forecasts from four major banks, past the peak, but still red-hot