The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar against six major currencies, ticks up in the European trading session on Thursday, trading slightly below 108.00 at the time of writing.
USD/MXN carved out an interim high near 21.28 earlier this week and re-integrated within its multi-month range; this denotes lack of steady upward momentum, Societe Generale’s FX analysts note.
US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a range between 7.2650 and 7.3050. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; USD could trade in a 7.2430/7.3580 range for now, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Gold rallied to a new all-time high amid trade war concerns that risk higher inflation and slower economic growth, spurring demand for safe-haven assets, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey notes.
The Bank Of England's (BoE) trade-weighted sterling index has rallied 1.7% since the middle of January. The recovery from the gilt-triggered January sell-off has undoubtedly been helped by the rally in US Treasuries.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could edge above 0.5705 before levelling off; the next resistance at 0.5725 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, there has been a tentative buildup in momentum; NZD could rise gradually to 0.5725, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
While conditions remain overbought, AUD could edge higher and test 0.6310. A sustained rise above this level is unlikely. In the longer run, If AUD closes above 0.6310, it could trigger an advance to 0.6355, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
US Dollar (USD) could drop further; given the oversold conditions, it might not be able to break the significant support at 151.80. In the longer run, outlook for USD is negative but note the significant support level at 151.80, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The oil market sold off yesterday despite US President Trump’s directive to increase economic pressure on Iran, which would include targeting oil exports from the country. Instead, the market focused on the tariff story, a theme likely to dictate sentiment for much of this year.